| 朱星月,林腾飞,米源,胡明.间断时间序列模型及其在卫生政策干预效果评价中的应用[J].中国药事,2018,32(11):1531-1540 |
| 间断时间序列模型及其在卫生政策干预效果评价中的应用 |
| Interrupted Time Series Model and Its Application in Effect Evaluation of Health Policy Intervention |
| 投稿时间：2017-09-04 |
| DOI：10.16153/j.1002-7777.2018.11.013 |
| 中文关键词: 间断时间序列 间断时间序列研究(ITS) 卫生政策 效果评价 |
| 英文关键词: interrupted time series interrupted time series analysis health policy effect evaluation |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金“新医改多重政策实施背景下基本药物可及性评价：指标及方法的建立与实证”（编号71473170） |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 目的：对间断时间序列研究方法与应用现状进行梳理，为其在我国卫生政策效果实证研究中的使用提供参考与借鉴。方法：通过文献研究，归纳总结了间断时间序列研究的特点、研究设计、分析方法，对国内外间断时间序列研究的方法学研究现状、应用研究现状及其进展情况进行分析评价。结果与结论：间断时间序列分析作为评估卫生政策干预效果的有力工具，在国际相关研究领域应用广泛；近年来，在国内卫生领域的研究和应用也日趋增多。但该模型仍具有一定的局限性，在具体应用时要注意适用条件，进行合理的设计和分析。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Objective: To discuss the research methods and application status of interrupted time series analysis (ITS), and to provide references for its use in the empirical studies of health policy effect in our country. Methods: The characteristics, study design, and analysis methods of ITS were summarized based on literature reviews. The current status of methodology study, application and progress of ITS at home and abroad were also analyzed and evaluated. Results and Conclusion: As a powerful tool for the effect evaluation of the intervention of health policy, ITS has been widely used in relevant research fields worldwide. Although there've been more domestic studies on ITS' use in recent years, ITS still has some limitations. Applicable conditions, reasonable design and analysis should be paid attention to during its application. |
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